数据挖掘在器材保障决策支持中的应用研究

针对器材保障现状,运用数据挖掘技术,探索器材保障决策支持问题.设计了器材保障决策支持系统中数据挖掘应用的解决方案,该方案包括了项目规划和应用设计,并以器材平时消耗预测为例,运用多元回归模型算,法进行了挖掘实现.数据挖掘为保障决策提供了更加丰富和科学的信息,可以较好地满足器材保障决策支持的需要.     

The effects of model parameter deviations on the variance of a linearly filtered time series

We consider a general linear filtering operation on an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series. The variance of the filter output, which is an important quantity in many applications, is not known with certainty because it depends on the true ARMA parameters. We derive an expression for the sensitivity (i.e., the partial derivative) of the output variance with respect to deviations in the model parameters. The results provide insight into the robustness of many common statistical methods that are based on linear filtering and also yield approximate confidence intervals for the output variance. We discuss applications to time series forecasting, statistical process control, and automatic feedback control of industrial processes. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

核动力装置一回路辅助系统失水事故的仿真研究

运用一种操作简便、计算速度快的工具软件对某核动力装置一回路辅助系统典型位置的失水事故进行了仿真.通过分析仿真结果得出不同位置的破口引起不同后果的事故,其中有些事故可以忽略,有些事故则相当严重.     

逆变器驱动电机系统EMC模型建立及直流侧传导干扰研究

针对逆变器驱动电机系统建立了EMC(电磁兼容)模型,其中改进了三相异步电机的EMC模型,通过构建实验系统,对系统的直流侧传导干扰进行了测量,并采用Simulink工具对系统进行了时域传导干扰分析,仿真结果与实验吻合,结果显示主要传导干扰出现在逆变器载频的整数倍附近,在0～150kHz频段中随频率增加,传导干扰增大,其中共模传导干扰占主要成分.     

不同电流波形下永磁推进电机电磁转矩的时步有限元计算

以12相永磁推进实验样机为研究对象,介绍了其结构特点及运行控制模式,建立了该电机的时步有限元仿真系统.采用有限元法对正弦波、方波、梯形泼电流波形下的永磁推进电机电磁转矩进行了数值计算,给出了不同电流下的功角特性曲线.研究结果表明,对于电枢反应较强的12相永磁推进电机,在通常功角范围内通入正弦波电流可产生较大电磁转矩.     

大容量储能发电机并联运行励磁控制算法

大容量储能发电机作为脉冲电源，整流后通过逆变器向大功率脉冲负载供电。采用储能发电机直流侧并联方式工作，可以有效提高系统带载能力与可靠性。当并联运行的储能发电机转速不同时，根据转速合理分配电机释放功率可以有效提高系统工作效能，因此需要设计一种具有功率调节功能的励磁控制算法。在电压、电流双闭环控制的基础上，引入功率前馈控制，推导并求解了前馈功率与励磁电流关系以及控制参数，并根据电机初始转速设计了功率分配算法。仿真试验结果表明，功率前馈控制在励磁控制过程中起主导作用，有效分配储能电机释放功率大小，提高了励磁电流响应速度，抑制了负载功率扰动对励磁控制系统的影响。     

舰炮大型铸铝件断裂残余应力分析

采用盲孔法测试某型舰炮大型铸铝件残余应力,结果分析表明原结构中残余应力较大,部分位置残余应力超过材料屈服极限是其断裂的根本原因.通过工艺改进后,构件残余应力幅值大幅降低,满足工程要求.     

The building evacuation problem with shared information

In this article, the Building Evacuation Problem with Shared Information (BEPSI) is formulated as a mixed integer linear program, where the objective is to determine the set of routes along which to send evacuees (supply) from multiple locations throughout a building (sources) to the exits (sinks) such that the total time until all evacuees reach the exits is minimized. The formulation explicitly incorporates the constraints of shared information in providing online instructions to evacuees, ensuring that evacuees departing from an intermediate or source location at a mutual point in time receive common instructions. Arc travel time and capacity, as well as supply at the nodes, are permitted to vary with time and capacity is assumed to be recaptured over time. The BEPSI is shown to be NP‐hard. An exact technique based on Benders decomposition is proposed for its solution. Computational results from numerical experiments on a real‐world network representing a four‐story building are given. Results of experiments employing Benders cuts generated in solving a given problem instance as initial cuts in addressing an updated problem instance are also provided. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于自适应累量算法的舰船轴频电场信号检测方法

提出一种新的舰船轴频电场信号检测方法.该方法利用高阶累量对高斯噪声的抑制作用,首先使用基于自适应累量算法的FIR滤波器对接收信号进行滤波消噪处理,以提高信噪比;然后再对滤波输出信号进行滑动功率谱检测.实测数据处理结果表明了该方法的稳健性和有效性.     

Supply chain coordination with shelf‐space and retail price dependent demand and heterogeneous retailers

We consider supply chain coordination in which a manufacturer supplies some product to multiple heterogeneous retailers and wishes to coordinate the supply chain via wholesale price and holding cost subsidy. The retail price is either exogenous or endogenous. The market demand is described by the market share attraction model based on all retailers'shelf‐spaces and retail prices. We obtain optimal solutions for the centralized supply chain, where the optimal retail pricing is a modified version of the well‐known cost plus pricing strategy. We further get feasible contracts for the manufacturer to coordinate the hybrid and decentralized supply chains. The manufacturer can allocate the total profit free to himself and the retail market via the wholesale price when the retail price is exogenous, but otherwise he cannot. Finally, we point out that different characteristics of the retail market are due to different powers of the manufacturer, and the more power the manufacturer has, the simpler the contract to coordinate the chain will be. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010